Wednesday 30 November 2016

Colombo Stock Exchange Market Review – 30th Nov 2016


Colombo Bourse witnessed a slightly positive tone today and the indices closed in the green territory after three consecutive days of losses. ASI closed 9.23 index points (+0.2%) ahead at 6,241.10 while the blue-chip S&P SL 20 index inclined 10.20 index points (+0.3%) to 3,467.10.
Among the blue-chips, John Keells Holdings (LKR 148.30,+2.6%), Dialog Axiata (LKR 10.40,+3.0%), Lion Brewery (LKR 469.30, +4.1%) led the gainers while Ceylon Cold Stores (LKR 772.10,-3.9%) and LOLC (LKR 73.30, -7.6%) were among the losers. Market breadth remained equally divided with gainers modestly ahead of losers at 71 to 69.

Market turnover reached LKR 580mn supported by the activities in John Keells Holdings (LKR 117mn), Chevron Lubricants (LKR 97mn) and Ceylon Tobacco (LKR 85mn). The crossings in Chevron Lubricants (0.4mn shares at LKR 158.50) and CT Holdings (0.2mn at LKR 120.00) contributed 14% of the turnover.

Commercial Credit (LKR 59.90, +4.9%), John Keells Holdings and Access Engineering (LKR 24.30, +0.8%) were among the actively traded counters in todays’ session.

Foreign investors were net buyers with net foreign inflow of LKR 48mn. Foreign participation was 45%. Top net inflows were seen in Ceylon Tobacco (LKR 72mn), John Keells Holdings (LKR 24mn) and Tokyo Cement – nonvoting (LKR 12mn) while top net outflow was seen in Chevron Lubricants (LKR 50mn).

At today’s Treasury bill auction, yields declined in 6-months (9.55%, -16bps) and 12-months durations (10.1%, -15bps) while yield of 3-months bill remained unchanged. The auction received LKR 71bn worth of bids but CBSL accepted only LKR 16bn.
Source: LSL

Sri Lanka shares edge up; tax proposals weigh

Reuters: Sri Lankan shares ended slightly higher on Wednesday as investors sought bargains in blue-chips but concerns over recent budget tax proposals weighed on sentiment.

The Colombo stock index ended up 0.15 percent at 6,241.10, ending three sessions of losses.

The index hit a near-eight-month low on Tuesday on concerns that the proposed hike in various taxes and fees would reduce disposable income and challenge consumption-led growth, analysts said.

"Market is up on bargain-hunting by foreigners but it's not a major factor at the moment unless the trend is going to continue," said Dimantha Mathew, head of research at First Capital Equities (Pvt) Ltd.

"I feel its like a one-off thing. Investors are concerned over the current uncertainty and we could see volatility in the market with the current economic uncertainty."

The government aims to boost its 2017 tax revenue by 27 percent to 1.82 trillion rupees year-on-year and meet a commitment given to the International Monetary Fund in return for a $1.5 billion loan in May.

The market shrugged off the central bank's key monetary policy decision on Tuesday to keep rates unchanged. Brokers said investors are concerned about sustainability of rates.

Turnover stood at 579.6 million rupees ($3.89 million), much less than this year's daily average of 694.6 million rupees.

Foreign investors bought a net 48.1 million rupees worth of shares on Wednesday, but have been net sellers of 1.64 billion rupees worth of shares so far this year.

Shares of conglomerate John Keells Holdings Plc jumped 2.63 percent while Dialog Axiata Plc rose 2.97 percent and Ceylon Tobacco Company Plc rose 0.47 percent.

($1 = 148.9000 Sri Lankan rupees) 


(Reporting by Ranga Sirilal; Editing by Sunil Nair)

‘NSB continues its healthy growth momentum with a PBT of Rs. 10.1 bn for 9 months ending September 30, 2016’

NSB recorded a Profit Before Tax (PBT) of Rs. 10.2 billion for 9 months ended 30th September 2016, a 12% increase as compared with the same period last year. Growth in traditional lines of business, enhanced Fee based income coupled with lower impairment provisioning due to a significant improvement in asset quality been the contributory factors leading to this growth.

The Bank reported an Operating Profit of Rs. 12.3 billion for the nine months period recording a growth of 13% when compared to Rs. 10.9 billion Operating Profit reported for the correspondence period last year. The Profit after Tax (PAT) was reported at Rs. 7.4 billion for the nine months ended 30th September which is a notable growth of 32% compared to Rs. 5.6 billion PAT recorded during the same period last year. These profits were recorded despite lower Net Interest margins due to a rising market interest rate scenario.

Interest income of the Bank grew by 8% to reach Rs. 62.9 billion while interest expenses recorded an increase of 15% mainly due to upward repricing of its term deposit portfolio on account of interest rate pressures.

The Bank’s Loans and Advances portfolio grew satisfactorily helped by a growth in Retail Loans of 17% as compared to the previous year. Another key highlight been the significant decline of gross Non Performing Loans (NPL) ratio to 1.8% as at 30th September, 2016 from 3.5% at the start of year 2016.

The Bank has already contributed Rs.14.4 billion to the Government in the form of Taxes and Levies for the year 2016. A significantly higher amount as compared with last year.

The total assets of the Bank stood at Rs. 886 billion by end of 30th September indicating a growth of 5%. During the period under review, total deposit base of the Bank grew by 7% to reach Rs. 638 billion.

The Bank’s Tier 1 capital adequacy ratio stood at 11.6% while total capital adequacy was 10.6% as at 30th September, 2016. Those ratios were 17.9% & 16.4% as at 31st December 2015.

www.island.lk

Tuesday 29 November 2016

Seylan raises US$ 15 mn term facility from Dubai’s Rakbank

Alpen Capital (ME) Limited, an investment banking advisory firm, also based in the UAE acted as the sole financial advisor to the transaction.

Seylan Bank will utilise the funds for general business development and portfolio growth in its Foreign Currency Banking Unit (FBCU).

The USD 15 million 5 year loan facilities was signed in Dubai, UAE on November 27, 2016 in the presence of Kapila Ariyaratne (Director/CEO - Seylan Bank), Ramesh Jayasekara (Chief Risk Officer- Seylan Bank), Peter England (CEO - Rakbank ), Rohit Walia (Executive Chairman - Alpen Capital) and other senior management members from all parties involved.

Rakbank CEO Peter England said they are pleased to have partnered with Seylan Bank to support their general expansion plan of the Foreign Currency Banking Unit. “This long term financing allows us to diversify our asset book into various geographies while introducing Seylan Bank to the region,”he said.

Seylan Bank Chief Executive Officer Kapila Ariyaratne said: “We are extremely pleased to sign up on this partnership as the Bank’s first long term financial agreement with the Middle East market, which reflects strong in investor confidence in Seylan Bank’s operations and future growth potential.”

Rakbank, also known as the National Bank of Ras Al Khaimah, is one of the UAE’s oldest and most dynamic financial institutions.

Unspecified action taken against Perpetual Treasuries: CB Governor

ECONOMYNEXT - Sri Lanka's central bank has taken unspecified action against Perpetual Treasuries, a primary dealer in government securities that was involved in controversial deals.

Central Bank Governor Indrajit Coomaraswamy said the Monetary Board, the highest decision-making body had taken action on November 07 and also later but decline to elaborate.

He said details would be revealed later.

A parliamentary committee has recommended that the profits made from allegedly rigged auctions should be clawed back and legal action also taken against the former Central Bank Governor Arjuna Mahendran.

Perpetual Treasuries is connected to Mahendran's son-in-law Arjuna Aloysius.

Sri Lanka to lift age 70-year age restriction on company directors

ECONOMYNEXT - Sri Lanka has proposed to remove a restriction of persons over the age 70 serving on the boards of private companies.

At the moment, the term of a person reaching 70 years can be extended by a special resolution approved by shareholders under Sri Lanka's company law.

"…I propose to remove this restriction enabling Chairmen and Members of the Board of Directors who are also shareholding directors to continue to serve on the Board beyond the age of 70 years," Finance Minister Ravi Karunanayake said in the text of a speech in a budget for 2017.

It is not clear why such a proposal was brought in the budget. There had been no public discussion or debate on the matter before the proposal.

Colombo Stock Exchange Market Review – 29th Nov 2016


Colombo bourse remained on negative side amid foreign outflows. Benchmark index slid by 7.00 index points (-0.11%) to end at 6,231.87 while high cap constituent S&P SL20 index lost 2.96 index points or 0.09% to end at 3,456.90.

Premier blue-chips, Nestle Lanka (closed at LKR 2,014.30, -1.6%), Lion Brewery (closed at LKR 451.00, -3.7%) and Dialog Axiata (closed at LKR 10.10, -1.0%) impacted the index performance. However, gains in Sri Lanka Telecom (closed at LKR 35.60, +1.7%) and Overseas Realty (closed at LKR 20.00, +3.1%) eased the negative impact.

Daily market turnover hit five week high of LKR 1bn supported by hefty crossings recorded in selected blue-chips. Aitken Spence contributed for bulk of the turnover (LKR 307mn) underpinned by five crossings of 4.1mn shares at LKR 65.00. Teejay Lanka was the next best contributor with LKR 201mn. Two crossings of 3.5mn shares of Teejay Lanka changed hands at LKR 42.50. John Keells Holdings (LKR 135mn) and Ceylon Tobacco (LKR 92mn) were among top contributors.

Another two crossings were witnessed in John Keells Holdings (0.36mn shares at LKR 144.50) and Hatton National Bank (0.20mn shares at LKR 218.00). Aggregate value of crossings accounted for 50% of the turnover.

Losers outweighed the gainers 84 to 57, while 79 counters remained unchanged. High investor activity was witnessed in John Keells Holdings, Teejay Lanka, Tokyo Cement non-voting and Alumex.

Foreign investors were net sellers for the day with a net foreign outflow of LKR 296mn. Foreign participation was 57%. Net foreign outflows were seen in Aitken Spence (LKR 276mn), John Keells Holdings (LKR 66mn) and Teejal Lanka (LKR 33mn). Net foreign inflow was mainly seen in Commercial Bank (LKR 46mn).
Source: LSL

Sri Lanka shares hit near 8-mth low on foreign fund outflow

Reuters: Sri Lankan shares fell on Tuesday for the third straight session to end at a near eight-month low as foreign investors trimmed their exposure to the island nation's risky assets amid concerns over budget tax proposals.

The Colombo stock index ended 0.11 percent down at 6,231.87, its lowest close since April 7. The bourse lost 1.17 percent last week, marking its third straight weekly fall.

A proposed hike in various taxes and fees would reduce disposable income and challenge consumption-led growth, analysts said.

"Investors are concerned over the current uncertainty and they are worried over the sustainability of the rates given the current economic uncertainty," said Dimantha Mathew, head of research at First Capital Equities (Pvt) Ltd.

The government aims to boost its 2017 tax revenue by 27 percent to 1.82 trillion rupees year-on-year and meet a commitment given to the International Monetary Fund in return for a $1.5 billion loan in May.

The market shrugged off the central bank's key monetary policy decision on Tuesday to keep rates unchanged. Brokers said investors are concerned about the sustainability of the rates.

At the post-monetary policy media briefing, central bank Governor Indrajith Coomaraswamy said aggressive monetary policy tightening by the U.S. Federal Reserve will have an impact on the foreign outflow.

Turnover was 1.01 billion rupees ($6.78 million), more than this year's daily average of 695.1 million rupees.

Foreign investors sold a net 295.8 million rupees worth of shares on Tuesday, extending the year-to-date net foreign selling to 1.68 billion rupees.

Shares of Dialog Axiata Plc fell 0.98 percent while Asiri Hospitals Plc fell 0.77 percent. 

($1 = 149.0000 Sri Lankan rupees) 

(Reporting by Ranga Sirilal and Shihar Aneez; Editing by Vyas Mohan)

Monetary Policy Review – November 2016 - Policy rates unchanged

As envisaged, the growth of credit extended to the private sector by commercial banks decelerated considerably during September 2016, in response to monetary policy measures adopted by the Central Bank since end 2015. Accordingly, the year-on-year growth of private sector credit by commercial banks was recorded at 25.6 per cent in the month of September 2016 compared to 27.3 per cent in the previous month. Despite the deceleration in credit extended to the private sector, broad money (M2b) growth accelerated to 18.4 per cent, year-on-year, in September 2016 in comparison to 17.3 per cent recorded in the previous month, as borrowings by the public sector from commercial banks expanded during the month. In the meantime, rupee liquidity conditions in the domestic money market have returned to a balanced level, which will help stabilise market interest rates at current levels. 

Headline inflation as measured by both the National Consumer Price Index (NCPI) and Colombo Consumers’ Price Index (CCPI) remained stable around mid-single digit levels in October 2016. Further, core inflation based on both NCPI and CCPI remained unchanged in the month of October 2016 compared to the previous month. The adjustments made to the tax structure by the government are expected to have a one-off impact on inflation from November 2016 while the overall impact of the Budget 2017 on inflation is estimated to be favourable. Aggregate demand pressures are expected to remain well contained supported by the pre-emptive monetary policy measures coupled with the continuation of the envisaged fiscal consolidation process, and as a result, inflation is expected to remain stable in mid-single digit level in the period ahead. 

 On the external front, the deficit in the trade balance contracted by 12.0 per cent, year-onyear, in the month of September 2016 as export earnings recorded a growth for the second consecutive month amidst the contraction in expenditure on imports. Earnings from tourism were estimated to have increased by around 14.6 per cent during the first ten months of 2016, while workers’ remittances recorded a growth of 3.5 per cent during the same period. The gross official reserve position was estimated at US dollars 6.1 billion at end October 2016, while the Sri Lankan rupee depreciated by 2.6 per cent against the US dollar thus far during 2016. Meanwhile, Sri Lanka received the second tranche of the Extended Fund Facility (EFF) Programme with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) in November 2016, after the successful completion of the first review of the Programme by the IMF. The continuation of the EFF Programme is expected to strengthen the economy by facilitating medium to long term financial inflows in the period ahead. 

Considering the above developments, the Monetary Board, at its meeting held on 28 November 2016, was of the view that the current monetary policy stance is appropriate, and decided to maintain the Standing Deposit Facility Rate (SDFR) and the Standing Lending Facility Rate (SLFR) of the Central Bank unchanged at 7.00 per cent and 8.50 per cent, respectively.


Monday 28 November 2016

Colombo Stock Exchange Market Review – 28th Nov 2016


Colombo bourse turned red in week’s opening day as bearish investor sentiments continued to dominate the market direction. Benchmark index lost 13.25 index points or 0.21% to end the session at 6,238.87 while blue-chip constituent S&P SL20 index shed 16.68 index points (-0.48%) to end the day at 3,459.86. 

Index fell with banks where shares of National Development Bank (closed at LKR 151.30, -2.8%), Commercial Bank (closed at LKR 139.40, -1.0%), Hatton National Bank (closed at LKR 221.00, -0.9%) and DFCC Bank (closed at LKR 117.10, -0.9%) closed lower. 

Lanka Orix Leasing (closed at LKR 79.50, +3.9%) and Lion Brewery (closed at LKR 468.50, +3.9%) stood on the opposite side. 

Daily market turnover was LKR 386mn supported by negotiated deals in high caps. Off-the-floor dealings were recorded in DFCC Bank (1.35mn shares at LKR 117.70) and Central Finance (0.2mn shares at LKR 100.00). Aggregate value of crossings accounted for 47% of the turnover. 

Accordingly, DFCC Bank top the turnover list with LKR 184mn followed by Hemas Holdings (LKR 34mn), Central Finance (LKR 26mn) and John Keells Holdings (LKR 18mn) respectively. 

Market breadth was negative where out of 189 stocks traded, 45 advanced, 85 slipped while 59 remained unchanged. High investor activity was witnessed in DFCC Bank, John Keells Holdings and Access Engineering. 

Foreign investors were net sellers with a net foreign outflow of LKR 137mn. Foreign participation was 30%. Net foreign outflows were mainly seen in DFCC Bank (LKR 176mn), Hatton National Bank (LKR 5mn), Tokyo Cement (LKR 1mn) while net foreign inflow was mainly seen in Hemas Holdings (LKR 32mn).
Source: LSL

Sri Lanka shares hit near 8-mth low ahead of cenbank rate decision

Reuters: Sri Lankan shares fell on Monday to a near eight-month low, ahead of central bank policy rate announcement as investors kept to the sidelines amid concerns over budget tax proposals including revisions in corporate and withholding taxes.

Analysts said investors were awaiting the central bank's decision on interest rates on Tuesday. They expect the apex bank to leave rates unchanged for a fourth straight month.

The Colombo stock index ended 0.21 percent down at 6,238.87, its lowest close since April 7. The bourse lost 1.17 percent last week, marking its third straight weekly fall.

"Market is very sluggish as there is no positive direction for it to move up. Everybody is waiting, looking for a direction (in interest rates)," said Reshan Kurukulasuriya, chief operating officer, Richard Pieris Securities (Pvt) Ltd.

Analysts said the increase in various taxes and fees would reduce disposable income and challenge consumption-led growth.

The government aims to boost its 2017 tax revenue by 27 percent to 1.82 trillion rupees year-on-year and meet a commitment given to the International Monetary Fund in return for a $1.5 billion loan in May.

Turnover was 386.3 million rupees ($2.60 million), well below this year's daily average of 693.7 million rupees.

Foreign investors sold a net 137.2 million rupees worth of shares on Monday, extending the year-to-date net foreign selling to 1.39 billion rupees.

Shares of biggest listed lender Commercial Bank of Ceylon Plc fell 1 percent and Ceylon Cold Store Plc lost 7.35 percent, while National Development Bank Plc closed 2.76 percent lower.

($1 = 148.5000 Sri Lankan rupees) 

(Reporting by Ranga Sirilal and Shihar Aneez; Editing by Vyas Mohan)

MBSL posts Rs 257.3 mn nett profit for third quarter

The Merchant Bank of Sri Lanka & Finance PLC (MBSL) recorded an exceptional third quarter financial performance in 2016 with robust growth in revenues and profitability, following its unparalleled three-way merger of 2015.

MBSL finalized one of the most complex amalgamation processes witnessed in the country to date, in 2015, by merging with two of its subsidiaries, MCSL Financial Services and MBSL Savings Bank, to integrate three separate companies into a single consolidated financial services entity.

Commenting on the third quarter results, MBSL Chairman Dr Sujeewa Lokuhewa said the company’s growth strategy has been aligned with national development objectives. “We have aligned ourselves with the economic strategies of the government, which will be the guiding framework for the bank from 2016 onwards,”he said.

To support government economic development plans we are developing new products and services and implementing IT solutions for product and service delivery to reach into the far corners of the country, to cater to rural markets and in particular rural SMEs,” Dr. Lokuhewa said.

MBSL demonstrated an outstanding 1,539% cumulative bottom line growth year-on-year by the end of the third quarter 2016, with a profit after tax (PAT) of Rs 257.3 million, against Rs 15.7 million recorded in 2015. The PAT for the quarter had surged ahead of 2015, to reach Rs 122.3 million, compared to Rs 59.2 million in 2015.

This sustained robust performance by the Company resulted in reversing the negative bottom line of the Group for the third quarter of 2015, moving the MBSL Group out of the red and into profitability. The bottom line of the MBSL Group gained by 696% to reach a PAT of Rs 186.2 million, by end September 2016, from a loss of Rs 31.2 million in 2015. This cumulative growth in profitability was mainly due to the 296% growth in PAT in the third quarter of 2016, to Rs 108.6 million, compared to the Rs 27.4 million achieved in 2015.

Gains in profitability have been accompanied by improvements across most aspects of the financial dashboard with MBSL increasingly consolidating its post-merger market position.

“With the merger we have improved our operational efficiencies and we are currently focusing on providing a better experience for our customers. Overall, the merger has contributed towards growing the market and scope of business, and we are looking into further growth opportunities in new market segments,” MBSL CEO T. Mutugala said.
www.dailynews.lk

Vallibel Finance profits grow to Rs. 581 mn in first half

Vallibel Finance saw its half-yearly pre-tax profit for 2016 climbing to Rs. 581 mn, recording a growth of 58.1% percent over the same period the previous financial year, on the back of strong performances in core financial operations and its increasingly popular product portfolio.

Vallibel Finance consolidated its standing as a leading light in the competitive financial sphere and its half yearly report card affirms the company’s ability to sustain its ascendency, year after year.

Vallibel Finance, nurtured its loan book well, disbursing Rs. 8.5 bn during the first half of 2016, providing impetus for growth for people across the country. The total loan book of the company now stands at Rs. 21.73 bn

Deposits complimented the lending portfolio, growing exponentially by over Rs. 3.55 bn or 27.1% percent by the end of the financial period under review over the previous year with total deposits amassing to Rs. 16.7 bn, firmly entrenching public confidence in the company.

Net interest income grew by 19.2% percent to reach Rs. 936 mn with the total income growing by 43% reaching Rs. 2.27 bn as against the previous figure of Rs. 1.58 bn. Vallibel Finance took adequate measures to keep its Non-performing Loans in check with the figure 3.49% (Gross), 0.55% (Net) indicating an encouraging result considering the volatile market conditions prevalent in the finance sector.

Total assets continued its upward curve growing by 34.7% percent to Rs. 25.64 bn over the previous year’s figure.

Vallibel Finance Managing Director Jayantha Rangamuwa attributes his company’s track record to a far-sighted vision and prudent financial stewardship that ensures winning hearts and minds of people throughout the country through innovative financial tools while at the same time ensuring professionalism and accountability.

The increasing popularity of Vallibel Finance and the respect it commands in the market are evident in its performance which is clearly indicative of the increasing stature of the company.

Vallibel Finance derives its direction and inspiration from corporate leader Dhammika Perera.
www.dailynews.lk

Top brewer says regime change failed to offer sanity in policy making

The rashness demonstrated by the new regime in making tax policies has not only made the business of brewing tougher than ever but also pushed the people towards hard liquor, which is arguably more detrimental to health.

According to the country’s top brewer, Lion Brewery Ceylon PLC (LION), the alcohol industry has now been made liable for not just the higher excise duty, which was raised back in October 2014, but also for the higher value-added tax (VAT), which came into effect from November 1, 2016, making the total tax increase on beer up to 70 percent compared to the 25 percent increase in taxes on spirits.


“The beer industry – to a degree greater than the others in the alcohol sector – has been at the receiving end of this type of ad hoc and incomprehensible policymaking for many years.

With the advent of this government, we hoped things would change and that a more rational approach would prevail.

Unfortunately, this has not been the case and today Sri Lankans consume a significantly greater amount of hard alcohol than they did two years ago,” the company said in a note to its interim financial accounts released to the Colombo Stock Exchange recently.

This irrational tax policy by the government appears to have pushed the people to consume more spirits and toddy, while the consumption of beer has reduced by 39 percent. But the consumption of spirits has increased by 9 percent during the same period.

Alcohol consumption in a country could go up either if the population is extremely happy or they have been made extremely poor. While the former condition mostly drives the demand for formal liquor and a milder version of alcohol such as beer, the latter condition could drive the demand for illicit liquor or moonshine.

Therefore, excessive taxing of the formal alcohol industry could in fact boomerang on the government both economically and socially. But successive governments milked both the tobacco and alcohol industries whenever they found their exchequers depleted.

But analysts point out that this strategy could become futile as the demand will not remain inelastic forever.

“Whilst empirical evidence strongly indicates that there has been a very significant increase in the consumption of toddy, available records hide this fact since the quantities manufactured are not accurately disclosed by the producers,” LION said.

Toddy has now become an extremely unhealthy beverage made in the most unhygienic conditions and no longer of coconut sap but made now of a chemical concoction. The alcohol industry was exempted from VAT in October 2014 by the Rajapaksa administration to bring revenue neutrality, i.e., excise taxes were increased then to recover the loss from VAT.

However, with effect from November 1, 2016, the industry is now liable under higher excise duty and higher VAT.

The country’s belligerent finance minister pushed the VAT Amendment Bill through parliament to satisfy the International Monetary Fund (IMF), which gave a US $ 1.5 billion bailout package in June to arrest a possible balance of payment crisis.

“We hope however, that better sense will prevail sooner rather than later,” the company finally added.

Lion Brewery September in red due to flood-induced factory closure

Lion Brewery Ceylon PLC (LION) said its financial performance was badly affected by the floods in the month of May, which wrecked havoc, bringing the brewing in the facility into a complete standstill.

As a result, the company turned a net loss of Rs.477.2 million or a loss per share of Rs.5.97 during the quarter ended September 30, 2016 (2Q17), from a profit of Rs.695.4 million a year ago.

However, the company managed to continue its supplies to the market, albeit below potential capacity, through imports that came from four Carlsberg breweries in the Asian region.

“We placed our brewers in the locations that supplied us our own brands to ensure the quality and consistency consumers expect from us,” the company said in a statement. The government considered LION among “other similarly affected businesses” to import, “specified quantity”, at taxes limited to the value of the local excise duty for which the company expressed its deep appreciation.

Nevertheless, a case is pending at the courts contesting the relief granted on imported beer by the Trade and Investment Policy Department, with the concurrence of the finance minister and this case is coming up for hearing on December 15.

Despite the company trying to keep up with the demand through imports, the top line contracted by 55 percent year-on-year (YoY) to Rs.4.45 billion. For the six months ended September 30 (1H17), revenue fell 47 percent YoY to Rs.10.0 billion.

“Due to logistical reasons, the imports mentioned above were restricted to cans. Thus, our major SKU, bottles, were not available in the market – other than for relatively smaller quantities of Carlsberg and Carlsberg Special Brew – whilst the brewery was not in production. As a result, sales were hampered and our results impacted,” the company noted.

Meanwhile, for the 1H17, the company incurred a loss of Rs.954.2 million or Rs.11.93 a share, against the Rs.1.27 billion net profit earned during the same period last year. 

During this period, the company’s borrowings rose sharply by around Rs.6.5 billion to a total of Rs.11.3 billion as the company had to depend on bank borrowings until the insurance claims are finalized, which is expected to be concluded before the end of the ongoing financial year.

Based on the preliminary assessment of the damage caused to the investors and to some fixed assets due to flooding, an interim claim was submitted for which the company received an advance payment of Rs.300 million during the period.

The damaged facility however is now in commercial operation, the company said.
As of September 30, Ceylon Beverage Holdings PLC held a 52.25 percent stake, while 

Carlsberg Brewery Malaysia Berhad held a 25 percent stake.

Carson Cumberbatch PLC held another 5.13 percent stake being the third largest shareholder.
www.dailymirror.lk

Sunday 27 November 2016

Budget Proposals 2017, A Critical Evaluation of Taxes

By P.Guruge



‘Listing’ should be purely on economic considerations

Tax on online transactions - a complicated matter




In this article I am not dealing with the entire Budget speech, running into 140 pages with 529 paragraphs. My comments are limited to taxes.

Corporate Income Tax -


It has been proposed to have three different rates for different activities -

1. 40% - Liquor, tobacco, betting and gaming;

Why not lotteries? Already, lotteries enjoy this privilege. It is important to consider all aspects of these activities, especially, in relation to liquor and tobacco.

In addition to manufacturing or import transporting, stocking, wholesale and retail activities should also be considered.

The cultivation of tobacco should also be considered under this higher rate. Otherwise, it will not be different from the existing situation.

2. 14% - SMEs, exporters, agriculture and education.

How about deemed or indirect exporters of goods and services and Health Services? Agriculture may be covering all activities including horticulture, farming and fishing. Educational services may be limited only to pure educational services, excluding additional goods and services provided by them.

If Health services are to be considered it should be applicable to pure health care services only. In the last budget, the Minister proposed a 15% rate.

3. 28% - All other activities

This is not a new rate. Already 28% is applicable to companies. At present, a number of other rates are applicable to companies. 10%, 12% and certain BOI companies enjoy 5% and 2% of turnover etc. Integration of these cases under 14% or 28% has to be done using an acceptable method.

It is good that depreciation rates are to be aligned with economic depreciation, instead of economically misleading accelerated depreciation. Incentives for listing may not work since this has been tried several times earlier. Let the ‘listing’ take place purely on economic considerations. 
Additional revenue estimated - Rs. 32,000 m. Proposals for 2016 were not implemented and legal provisions for 2015 were applied to 2016 also.

When compared with the estimated company tax revenue for 2016, the additional revenue estimate may be unrealistic.


Personal Income Tax -

Certain proposals are not clear. What is the exemption limit for individuals? For PAYE it is Rs. 1.2 m. per year. How about other individuals liable to pay income tax? Is it the current exemption limit, i.e. Rs. 500,000 or some other amount?

All employees whether professionals, or not will be considered in the same way and current tax rates, i.e. 4%, 8%, 12%, 16%, 20% and 24% will be applicable? To prepare PAYE Tax tables such rates will be used. Tax slabs will be Rs. 600,000 each. PAYE - Exemptions - It is proposed to remove all exemptions in relation to benefits applicable to employment income. This removal of exemption should be applicable to non- PAYE employees as well.

However, there may not be a reduction in revenue due to the increase of the exemption limit to Rs. 1.2 m. per year, and some employees now getting taxable remuneration just above the exemption limit may not get a big relief.

Further, non-PAYE employees, and other individuals should be treated in the same manner as ‘corporate citizens’.

For example, if an individual is engaged in agriculture he should get 14% rate on such income which should be the maximum rate on such income.

This treatment should be applicable to all sources where 14% is applicable for a company. However, the maximum rate applicable to such individuals also should be 24%. At the same time, if any activity where 40% is applicable was carried on by any individual 40% rate will be applicable to him as well.

Therefore, these 14%, and 40% rates should not be considered as company tax rates only, but special rates under the 5th Schedule to the Inland Revenue Act, which are applicable to all entities and individuals.

The rate applicable to partnerships has not been given.

Value Added Tax (VAT) -

It is proposed to abolish ‘S-VAT Scheme’, introduced by the previous regime, which is against VAT refunds.

They wanted a VAT system without refunds, which is impossible under our VAT system. Instead of strengthening the VAT refund system after the massive VAT fraud they went on the reverse gear.

No one knows what happened under this S-VAT system and no audit has been done on this activity. I feel the Minister should be commended for this bold decision.

Refunds for tourists - A separate section was incorporated in 2006, under the VAT Act (section 58A), but this section was also repealed by the previous regime.

This is a must to encourage tourists to purchase certain goods in Sri Lanka and to take such goods out of Sri Lanka. The systems and procedures should be introduced after careful consideration.

Other VAT refunds - The entitlement to refunds should be limited in relation to excess input tax of exporters, deemed exporters and registered new projects.

All other registered persons should carry forward their excess input tax and no refunds. It would be ideal if a guarantee system can be adopted to issue a refund within a short period.

Economic Service Charge (ESC) -

The ESC is a tax on persons and partnerships carrying on any trade, business, profession or vocation. The ESC is creditable against the relevant person’s income tax liability. If the person has no income tax liability, ESC charged will not be refunded. It will be the minimum tax payable by such person. By reducing the turnover threshold applicable to Rs. 12.5m from the current level of Rs. 50m many persons carrying on trade, business, etc. may be liable to this minimum tax even if there is no income tax liability.

Tax administration

It has been proposed to make certain changes in the Inland Revenue Department (IRD) administration. Reduction of time-bar for making assessments where return of income has been furnished on or before the due date for six months from the current 18 months may not be advisable.

After all how many working days are there in a six-month period. It may be reduced to 12 months and where the returns have not been furnished by the due date, the current 48-month period should not be changed.  


Period for the determination of an appeal by the Commissioner General of Inland Revenue (CGIR) which is currently two years, may not be reduced to six-months as proposed.

Then, the CGIR may confirm all absurd assessments! Even now with the two-year period, the CGIR confirms about 90% of assessments are under appeal. This period may be reduced to 12 months. In relation to appeals before the Tax Appeals Commission (TAC), the current period is nine months or 270 days. This period may be justified. The two-year period is applicable to the ‘old appeals’ transferred from the Board of Review (BOR), most of which are now over.

The problem with the TAC Act is that the consequences of not adhering to the time limit have not been spelt out. Therefore, the TAC takes up the position that the requirement is not ‘mandatory’. As in the case of CGIR’s hearing of appeals, TAC determination within the time limit should be made mandatory and provisions should be included to discharge the assessment in such situations.

Carbon Tax -

This may create some practical problems in implementation. Once a person paid this tax and obtained the Revenue Licence, he may not obtain an emission test certificate. Sometimes the relevant institution may not perform the test properly. If the collection of tax can be done through Divisional Secretariats and the revenue licence issued after the submission of emission test report, these problems may be avoided. In relation to this it is better to tell the truth rather than confuse the public.

Taxation of E commerce or online transactions -


This creates a lot of practical problems since it is difficult to establish the trade or business carried out in Sri Lanka by the relevant foreign national. A tax may be recovered from the local recipient of goods but that may also create problems. Many countries still watch the situation since it is a complicated matter.

Financial transactions levy -

If this levy is charged on the institution and not on customers, it may not create a problem. But, collecting it from customers by the relevant institutions may be prohibited. If you collect this as a surcharge on Financial VAT, this problem may be avoided. However, this will not discourage cash only transactions by criminal persons etc.

Tax on ethanol - Why no VAT on ethanol?

Withholding Taxes (WHT) -

Specified Fees - This WHT (section 151 of the Inland Revenue Act) was abolished by the previous regime w.e.f. 1.4.2011, for obvious reasons. At that time the rate was 10%. Since this is not a final WHT, instead of 5%, a 10% may be introduced.

Commercial Rent - The WHT (section 155 of the Inland Revenue Act) on commercial rent was also abolished by the previous regime w.e.f. 1.4.2011. Why not this also be revived? It may be extended to residential rent where the landlord is an institution. 


There are some doubts on the 2017 Income Tax and external trade revenue estimates.

As regards income tax, the estimate shows an increase of Rs. 99 billion over 2016. Even with the new proposals it may not be possible to collect this additional revenue in 2017, under the existing self assessment payment system. In the 1st quarter of 2017, the new proposals are not applicable, which will come into effect only from 1.4.2017.

Therefore, the maximum Income Tax Revenue one can expect for 1Q2017 will be ¼ of the previous year’s amount (236 x ¼) i.e Rs. 59 billion. In the other 3 quarters also they can pay ¼ of the previous year’s tax for each quarter, ignoring tax rate changes and other changes in law.

Accordingly, 2Q, 2017 (April to June) revenue from income tax may not be more than Rs. 59 billion. In 3Q,2017 (July to Sept) and. 4Q, 2017 (Oct - Dec) too the income tax revenue may be the same.

Any excess income tax due to rate or other changes can be paid on or before September 30, 2018. For 2017, there may not be additional Income Tax revenue.

However, there may be some additional revenue from 1April, 2017 due to the changes in withholding taxes and the dividend tax rate, but it is doubtful whether such additional revenue will be as high as Rs. 99 billion.

The other problem is with the so-called taxes on external trade. These are really import duties and Port and Airport development Levy (PAL). Many import cesses are to be abolished and import duties on motor vehicles may be very much less. Accordingly, collection of Rs. 400 billion in 2017 from Customs Duties and PAL may not be achieved. The Minister has given an undertaking not to incur expenses over the estimates without Parliamentary approval in 2017. This is the norm. What is important is to see that the expenditure will not spill over the estimates which will affect the Budget deficit, severely.

Practical inclusion -

Some proposals in the Budget will help to develop the North and East. So far, it has been only rhetoric. Additional capital allowances and proportionate exemption on income earned may be good incentives for investment. However, in the North and East, priority should have been given to improve their traditional way of life i.e - agriculture and fishery.

I request the Joint Opposition parliamentarians and others to please read the statistics and charts etc given in the Budget speech, which speak about the progress made by the ‘Yahapalanaya Government’. For easy reference, I, quote some statistics (In Rs. billion).

The writer is a senior Tax and Investment Consultant. He was a former Fiscal Policy Advisor to the Ministry of Finance.

Saturday 26 November 2016

Sri Lanka’s Com Bank opens money transfer unit in Rome, eyes other cities

ECONOMYNEXT – Commex Sri Lanka S.R.L., a fully-owned subsidiary of Commercial Bank of Ceylon has inaugurated its money transfer operation in Italy, following the grant of a Money Transfer Licence from the Bank of Italy.

Commex Sri Lanka S.R.L. of Via Giacomo Leopardi, Rome, incorporated and registered in Italy under the supervision of the Bank of Italy had received the necessary regulatory approvals from both countries to engage in fund transfers on its own.

Commercial Bank’s Managing Director Jegan Durairatnam said the bank plans to open branches in other Italian cities with high potential for money transfer services to Sri Lanka.

Italy is one of the biggest markets for Sri Lankan migrants with an estimated 150,000 Sri Lankans living and working there.

The market generates an estimated Rs3 billion in remittances to Sri Lanka a month, the bank said in a statement.

Commercial Bank is one of the first Sri Lankan banks to establish money transfer facilities in Italy.

It led to many Sri Lankans who had previously used informal channels to remit money to Sri Lanka using the Bank’s e-Exchange remittance service instead, and prompted the bank’s decision to incorporate its own subsidiary for money transfer services, the statement said.

Commercial Bank has also tied up with international money transfer services Ria and MoneyGram offering Sri Lankan expatriates additional ways of remitting their earnings to Sri Lanka, supplementing the services already offered through its own money transfer product e Exchange.

The tie up with MoneyGram and Ria permits remittances to all parts of the world through Commex.

Commercial Bank said it is one of the most active players in Sri Lanka in the field of remittances, offering customers a range of options.

“Remitters can send money even without having an account in the bank. The bank has its own Business Promotion Officers (BPOs) in key markets around the world where significant numbers of Sri Lankans are employed.”

Sri Lanka’s MTD Walkers real estate, marine business grows fast

ECONOMYNEXT – Sri Lankan construction group MTD Walkers made a net profit of Rs162 million in the September 2016 quarter from a loss of Rs70 million a year ago, helped by strong growth in its real estate and marine engineering businesses.

Sales rose 60 percent to Rs3.6 billion during the period, according to interim accounts filed with the stock exchange.

The firm reported earnings per share of 97 cents for the quarter compared with a loss per share of 41 cents the year before.

In the six months to September 2016, MTD Walkers’ loss per share narrowed to 38 cents from a loss per share of Rs1.25 the year before.

The group managed to increase its gross profit margin to 27% up from 20% in the second quarter last year “in what continues to be a tough year for the construction industry,” a statement said.

“The results for this quarter have been encouraging and we hope to capitalise on our upcoming projects to further improve our performance in the next quarter,” said Viraj de Silva, chief financial officer of MTD Walkers PLC.

The increased profitability of the goup during the quarter is greatly due to the performance of the real estate sector, which MTD Walkers PLC ventured into recently through its subsidiary Walkers CML Properties (Private) Limited, the statement said.

The group’s real estate business profits rose 90 percent to Rs52 million in the six month period, the accounts showed.

Marine engineering business, the smallest in the group, also saw profits growing sharply to Rs53 million from Rs7.4 million the previous year, while profits from the civil engineering business also rose markedly to Rs193 million from Rs2 million over the period.

The group’s engineering sector business losses narrowed to Rs23 million from Rs145 million and trading losses remained at Rs22 million, near last year’s level while power generation profit fell sharply to Rs3 million from Rs72 million.

Sri LankNDB to be headed by ex-Pan Asia, HSBC banker

ECONOMYNEXT - Sri Lanka's NDB Bank said Dimantha Seneviratne, who ran Colombo-based Pan Asia Bank for three year would be its chief executive.

Seneviratne is a 15-year veteran at HSBC, where he had worked in Thailand, Bangladesh and Saudi Arabia, NDB said in a stock exchange filing.

Seneviratne had started at Sri Lanka's Sampath Bank and worked at Overseas Trust Bank and Saudi British Bank before joining HSBC.

He counts 26 years in banking.

Sri Lanka to bring new foreign exchange controls

ECONOMYNEXT - Sri Lanka will bring a new foreign exchange law 'to protect foreign reserves from irregular transactions' a budget for 2017 has said moving sideways from an earlier stance that foreign exchange controls will be abolished.

The budget however said the existing Exchange Control Act will be repealed.

Sri Lanka brought draconian foreign exchange controls after a money printing central was set up in 1951, generating dollar shortages and pressure on the currency.

Before 1951, Sri Lanka had a currency board where the exchange rate was fixed to the Indian rupee (silver).

The rupee did not move from 1885 until the creation of the central bank as money printing was legally prohibited.

The current administration also imposed exchange controls on exporters after printing money to finance a deficit and keep rates low.

Sri Lanka is trying to make Colombo a financial centre, but analysts say without a complete overhaul or abolition of the central bank, the idea will be a pipe dream.

Sri Lanka has held Dubai, Singapore and Hong Kong as examples.

But Hong Kong has an orthodox currency board, Singapore a modified one, and Dubai mimics US interest rates and operates almost like a currency board.

Market momentum decelerate over budget concerns: Acuity

Market momentum continued to decelerate last week as concerns surrounding certain Budget 2017 proposals weighed on investor sentiment, Acuity Stockbrokers said in their Share Market Weekly.

"The broad-share ASPI fell a further 73.9 points last week as retailers continued to look for direction and institutional/high net worth investors remained on the sidelines. Turnover levels meanwhile, continued to dwindle, with daily average turnover levels remaining in the LKR 0.32-0.39Bn range for the fifth consecutive week," the report said.

It noted that turnover levels which have averaged ~LKR 0.75Bn over the first nine months of the year have fallen to ~LKR 0.4Bn over the months of October and November.

Corporate earnings from the recently concluded earnings season however, indicated stronger performance over the September quarter, with ~95% of the market recording earnings totalling LKR 60Bn.

"The increase of ~25% Y-o-Y was helped largely by strong performance by Banks, Insurance, Manufacturing, Telecos, F&B and Hotels & Travels," Acuity said. "The Diversified sector however lost 27% Y-o-Y to LKR4.3Bn (cf. LKR 5.9Bn in Sept’15) while the Construction sector lost 15% Y-o-Y over the quarter to LKR 0.7Bn (cf. LKR 0.8Bn in Sept’15).

The report projected that markets in the week ahead are likely to remain dull, with investor’s looking for direction from this week’s monetary policy decisions.

www.island.lk

Distilleries – Melstacorp ‘Arrangement’ still in limbo

May happen this week according to informed sources

Several inquiries have been made by shareholders of the Distilleries Company of Sri Lanka regarding the swap of Distilleries shares for those of Melstacorp Ltd. finalized by an ‘Arrangement’ approved both by shareholders and the Commercial High Court of Colombo.

Under this arrangement, the swap had been concluded from Oct. 1 and Melstacorp has become the holding company of Distilleries, according to a Stock Exchange filing by Distilleries earlier this month.

However, the physical transfer of shares to and from shareholders has not yet taken place. In its Nov. 1 Stock Exchange filing, Distilleries said that this would take place when approvals are received from the Colombo Stock Exchange and the Securities and Exchange Commission of Sri Lanka to transfer Distilleries shares from shareholder accounts to Melstacorp as a private transfer and Melstacorp shares are listed.

Well informed sources said yesterday that the arrangements would be concluded possibly this week with Melstacorp listed. Regulatory approval for private transfer of shares must be obtained from the SEC and this too is likely within days.

"The depositing of Melstacorp Ltd. (shares) to the CDS accounts of the shareholders will take place once the above approvals are received," Distilleries said in the filing.

It further said that company has made an application to the SEC for the transfer outside the trading floor of the CSE (private transfer) of 300 million Distilleries shares in consideration for the allotment of 1,200 million new shares of Melstacorp to shareholders of Distilleries as at Sept. 30.

"The board of Distilleries and Melstacorp with the support of officers of the SEC and CSE is taking their best endeavors to ensure that the planned transfer of shares would soon take place," the filing published on the CSE website said.

However, there has been no further information on the subject with Melstacorp still unlisted and Distilleries shares remaining in the CDS accounts of shareholders who have agreed to the swap.

www.island.lk

Union Assurance Maintains Steady Growth in Core Life Insurance Business

Union Assurance (UA) reported steady progress in the life insurance business, recording Rs. 6 billion gross written premium, a 20% growth compared with the previous year and profit of Rs. 190 million compared with Rs. 1.5 billion in 2015. The previous year figure was boosted by the gain from sale of 78% stake in the general insurance business. Excluding this transaction, the profit for the period was lower than the previous period due to a decrease in interest income as a result of reduction in funds available due to the share repurchase effected in September 2015.

Profit for the nine month period ending September does not include a surplus from the life business which is actuarially valued at year end.

As at 30th September 2016, UA’s life fund stood at Rs. 30 billion with a healthy capital adequacy ratio indicating the financial strength of the business.

Union Assurance recently launched an exclusive health and life insurance policy for senior citizens i.e. "Union 60 Plus." The product offers health and life insurance to citizens between the ages of 50 to 70 years. UA also launched an island-wide campaign branded "Sarthakathwaye Piyawara" to create awareness on how UA’s insurance solutions can fulfill key needs such as health and protection, education, investment and retirement.

UA is positioned on the promise of "trust" and strives to deliver this promise by being transparent, convenient, and respectful when dealing with all stakeholders.

www.island.lk

LB Finance records Rs 3.2 Billion PBT for the First six Months, achieving 24% growth…

LB Finance PLC building upon its tremendous success in the previous year achieved a 24% growth in profit before tax (PBT) to Rs 3.2 Billion in the first half of the current year. The company reported a profit after tax (PAT) of Rs 1.8 Billion for the period under review, a 17% increase from the corresponding period.

Key performance indicators were on the up with Net Interest Income increasing to Rs 4.7 Billion, a 15% growth over the Rs 4.1 Billion achieved in the previous year’s first half. The Operating Income increased from Rs 4.7 Billion to Rs 5.34 Billion while the Net Operating Income rose by 23% to Rs 5.32 billion compared with Rs 4.3 Billion recorded in the previous corresponding period. The Impairment Charges demonstrated a significant reduction of 96% to Rs 15 Million as result of prudent asset quality management.

The Total Assets base reached Rs 89 Billion, an increase of 23% over the previous year’s figure of Rs 73 Billion while the Total Loans and Advances Portfolio stood at Rs 79 Billion. The Core Capital to Risk Weighted Asset Ratio and Total Capital to Risk Weighted Asset Ratio were maintained at 13.84% and 15.64% respectively, well above the 5% and 10% statutory requirement.

LB Finance PLC’s long term rating of ‘A-(lka)’? Outlook Stable was affirmed by Fitch Ratings Lanka Ltd during their annual ratings review of NBFI’s on 2nd August 2016. According to the rating agency the rating of LB captures its established franchise as the third largest non-bank financial institution in Sri Lanka in terms of assets, and its satisfactory levels of capital, which are supported by healthy revenue generation and sound profitability through its higher yielding products.

LB Finance PLC operates with an extensive branch network spread across the country as the NBFI with the largest reach in Sri Lanka and caters the financial needs of a growing customer base through a diversified portfolio of products. The company’s sustained success is a result of consistent service quality provided through a customer centric culture which amplifies the brand value of the company. LB Finance expects to continue to further strengthen its dominant position as the market leader for many product segments including Gold Loans.

Established in 1971, LB Finance PLC through the years has built a strong reputation as one of Sri Lanka’s most trusted financial organizations. With a total deposit base of over Rs. 53 billion, LB Finance remains as one of the largest non-banking deposit mobilizers in the industry.

The Company also offers a variety of other services including Leasing, Factoring, Hire Purchasing, Micro Finance, Mortgage Loans and Gold Loans. LB Finance is licensed by the Monetary Board of the Central Bank of Sri Lanka under the Finance Business Act No. 42 of 2011.
www.island.lk

Friday 25 November 2016

Sri Lanka shares end little changed; turnover slumps

Reuters: Sri Lankan shares ended little changed on Friday, hovering near eight-month lows, while turnover slumped as investors kept to the sidelines on concerns over recent tax proposals.

The Colombo stock index ended 0.02 percent down at 6,252.12, and lost 1.17 percent during the week, marking its third straight weekly fall.

The bourse hit its lowest close since April 7 on Wednesday on caution over the budget tax proposals, including revisions in corporate and withholding taxes.

The government aims to boost its 2017 tax revenue by 27 percent to 1.82 trillion rupees year-on-year, and meet a commitment given to the International Monetary Fund in return for a $1.5 billion loan in May.

"Investors area worried and staying on the sideline with the uncertainty haunting the markets," said Dimantha Mathew, head of research at First Capital Equities (Pvt) Ltd.

Analysts said the increase in various taxes and fees would reduce disposable income and challenge consumption-led growth.

Turnover was 110.5 million rupees ($745,614.04), the lowest since March 17, 2014 and well below this year's daily average of 695.1 million rupees.

Foreign investors bought a net 19.6 million rupees worth of shares on Friday, but have been net sellers of 1.25 billion rupees worth of shares so far this year.

Shares of Ceylon Cold Store Plc fell 7.35 percent while conglomerate John Keells Holdings Plc fell 0.89 percent and Dialog Axiata Plc fell 1.92 percent. 

($1 = 148.2000 Sri Lankan rupees) 

(Reporting by Ranga Sirilal; Editing by Sunil Nair)

Thursday 24 November 2016

Colombo Stock Exchange Market Review – 24th Nov 2016


Colombo Equities eked out last minute gains on Thursday to close the session in green after eight consecutive days of losses. ASI closed at 6,253.28 up 10.60 index points or +0.2% while S&P SL 20 index gained 10.48 index points (+0.3%) to close at 3,478.53.

Index swung between gains and losses but managed to flip to the positive side at the close supported by gains in Ceylon Cold Stores (LKR 848.50, +14.5%). Further, shares of John Keells Holdings (LKR 146.10, +0.6%), Cargills Ceylon (LKR 180.00, +2.1%) and LOLC (LKR 76.50, +1.9%) edged higher in today’s trading session.

Market turnover reached LKR 517mn led by crossings which accounted for 51% of the turnover. CT Land & Development contributed bulk of the turnover (LKR 136mn) supported by two crossings of 1.7mn shares at LKR 58.20. John Keells Holdings made a contribution of LKR 127mn backed by two off-the-floor deals totaling to 0.8mn shares at LKR 146.00. Further, a crossing was seen in Access Engineering (1.6mn shares at LKR 24.00) and the share contributed LKR 58mn to the turnover. 

Reflecting the earlier weaknesses, losers outweighed the gainers 72 to 51. Central Finance was the mostly traded stock today while Access Engineering, Ceylon Cold Stores and Janashakthi Insurance managed to gain investor interest. 

Foreign investors were net sellers with net foreign outflow of LKR 6mn. Foreign participation was 29%. Top net outflows were seen in National Development Bank (LKR 16mn), Teejay Lanka (LKR 4mn) and Central Finance (LKR 2mn) while top net inflow was seen in Lanka Milk Foods (LKR 4mn).
Source: LSL

Sri Lanka shares end 8-day losing streak

Reuters: Sri Lankan shares snapped an eight-day falling streak to end slightly higher on Thursday, but concerns over recent tax proposals continued to weigh on sentiment.

The bourse hit its lowest close since April 7 on Wednesday on caution over the budget tax proposals, including revisions in corporate and withholding taxes.

The government aims to boost its 2017 tax revenue by 27 percent to 1.82 trillion rupees year-on-year, and meet a commitment given to the International Monetary Fund in return for a $1.5 billion loan in May.

The benchmark index of the Colombo Stock Exchange ended up 0.17 percent at 6,253.28. The bourse has fallen 2.77 percent over the past eight sessions through Wednesday after the budget was presented on Nov. 10.

The index was in oversold territory, with the 14-day relative strength index at 19.845 versus Wednesday's 15.978, Thomson Reuters data showed. A level between 30 and 70 indicates the market is neutral.

"Bargain-hunting was there but no big level of buying interest was seen... as investors are cautious due to rising interest rates," said Dimantha Mathew, head of research at First Capital Equities (Pvt) Ltd.

Foreign investors sold a net 5.6 million rupees ($37,800) worth of shares on Thursday, extending the year-to-date net foreign outflow to 1.27 billion rupees.

Analysts said the increase in various taxes and fees would reduce disposable income and challenge consumption-led growth.

Turnover was 516.9 million rupees, less than this year's daily average of 698.6 million rupees.

Shares of Ceylon Cold Store Plc jumped 14.54 percent while conglomerate John Keells Holdings Plc rose 0.55 percent and Lanka ORIX leasing Plc fell 1.86 percent. 

($1 = 148.2000 Sri Lankan rupees) 

(Reporting by Ranga Sirilal; Editing by Sunil Nair)

Sri Lanka hikes capital requirements for stock brokers

ECONOMYNEXT - Sri Lanka has hiked capital requirements for stock brokers effective from March 01, based on a formula for calculating risk, the Securities and Exchange Commission said.

At the moment all brokers should keep a minimum of 35 million rupees as liquid capital.
Under the new rule the brokers have to keep 1.2 times of a risk requirement covering multiple risks as a Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR).

"The current Rules on minimum Net Capital applicable to stockbroker firms do not address the different risks these firms are exposed to," the SEC said in a statement.

"…[T]he implementation of CAR will enable the SEC and the CSE (Colombo Stock Exchange) to set up trigger points and prompt brokers to proactively monitor and manage their CAR before it breaches the minimum threshold.

The full statement is reproduced below:

Adoption of a Risk Based Capital Adequacy Requirement

The Securities and Exchange Commission of Sri Lanka (SEC) on the recommendation of the Colombo Stock Exchange (CSE), directed the implementation of a risk based Capital Adequacy Requirement (CAR) of 1.2 times the risk requirement of stockbrokers subject to a minimum liquid capital requirement of Rs 35 Mn. The CAR Rules are applicable to all stockbroker firms excluding those licensed to deal only in debt securities, with effect from 1 March 2017.

The current Rules on minimum Net Capital applicable to stockbroker firms do not address the different risks these firms are exposed to. In the light of the foregoing limitations of the present Rules and in keeping with international standards a dire need to establish a risk-based capital adequacy requirement was felt. Having considered the capitalisation of stockbroker firms, their current activities and CAR regimes implemented in regional markets, the CSE together with the SEC developed the methodology for the Rules.

The International Organization of Securities Commissions (IOSCO), which is the global standard setter for the securities sector sets out Principles of securities regulation and its members including SEC Sri Lanka are expected to implement these Principles in order to achieve the objectives of securities regulation i.e. protect investors, ensure that markets are fair, efficient and transparent and reduce systemic risk.

The regulatory Principle 30 states that “There should be initial and ongoing capital and other prudential requirements for market intermediaries that reflect the risks that the intermediaries undertake.”

This Principle identifies that capital must be sufficient to protect a financial institution’s customers and counterparties from various risks. In addition, an efficient capital adequacy structure is able to send timely warning signals to intermediaries to reassess their risk management practices, as a decline in the capital base can expose the intermediary to significantly higher levels of risks. Moreover, in order to ensure efficient functioning of capital markets it is imperative for all participants to have confidence in each other’s stability and the ability to effectively manage risk. The inability of an intermediary to honour his commitment can lead to serious market disruption and decline in investor confidence.

The CAR requirement will meet IOSCO Principle 30 by defining and enabling the monitoring of risk on a daily basis and linking the capital required to be maintained to address risk. Furthermore, the implementation of CAR will enable the SEC and the CSE to set up trigger points and prompt brokers to proactively monitor and manage their CAR before it breaches the minimum threshold. CAR will also aid in the development a risk based supervision framework.

This proactive approach will encourage stockbrokers to conduct their business operations more professionally and thereby help foster investor confidence in the capital market.

Sri Lanka’s 06-month, 01-year Treasuries yields rise at auction

ECONOMYNEXT – Yields on Sri Lanka’s six-month and one-year Treasury Bills rose at Wednesday’s auction while the yield on three-month bills remained steady, the debt office of the Central Bank said.

The three-month bill yield remained at 8.60 percent, having stayed unchanged since the action of October 21.

The six-month bill yield rose six basis points to 9.71 percent from 9.65 percent last week while the one-year bill yield rose five basis points to 10.25 percent from 10.20 percent last week.

The debt office got bids worth Rs47 billion and accepted bids of only Rs3 billion.

Sri Lanka bourse disaster recovery test Friday, one hour trading halt

ECONOMYNEXT – The Colombo Stock Exchange (CSE) said trading will be halted for about an hour on Friday 25th November 2016 for a disaster recovery exercise.

The CSE said it will conduct a planned failover to the Disaster Recovery site during trading hours using Version 7 of the Automated Trading System (ATS) Disaster Recovery Solution on Friday.

“The exercise will be an industry-wide activity as part of the Business Continuity Plan of the CSE with the participation of all stakeholders, to ensure the preparedness of all stakeholders to meet the recovery needs of the industry in the event of a disaster situation,” a statement said.

The CSE said it is required to impose a market halt of about one hour from 11.30 a.m. to 12.30 p.m. to facilitate the planned failover of the ATS from the production site to the CSE Disaster Recovery site.

Wednesday 23 November 2016

Sri Lanka listed company profits up 11-pct, market re-rated down: data



ECONOMYNEXT - Profits at Sri Lanka's publicly traded companies rose 11 percent to Rs225 billion in the 12 months ending September 2016 from a year earlier, while quarterly earnings were up 24 percent to Rs59.4 billion, a research report said.

But the market had steadily re-rated down in terms of price-to-earnings multiples and price-to-book values over the past 18 months.

CAP Partners, a Colombo-based advisory firm, said the top contributors to profits in the September quarter was Ceylon Tobacco (7.5 percent), Hatton National Bank (6.8 percent), John Keells Holdings (6.3 percent), Commercial Bank (6.2 percent) and Dialog Axiata (4.8 percent).

Net interest income was higher at banks, despite rising rates in the quarter, CAL Partners said.

Valibel One, lost Rs3.0 billion in the quarter, down from a profit of Rs836 million last year.

Profits in the telecom, power and energy, oil palms grew, while services, stores and supplies, chemical and pharmaceuticals had fallen, the report said.

In the 12-months ending September 2016, John Keells Holdings brought 6.5 percent of the profits, HNB 6.3 percent, Commercial Bank 6.1 percent, Ceylon Tobacco 5.5 percent and Lanka Orix Leasing Company 4.1 percent.

The 12-month trailing earnings had grown 2.1 percent in the same period last year.

Sri Lanka engaged in a 'Keynesian stimulus' in the first quarter of 2015, expanding state spending and financing the budget deficit through printed money, generating a balance of payments crisis and currency collapse.

The market was trading at a price-to-earnings multiple of 13.7 times, trailing 12 months in the first quarter of 2015, followed by 13.4 times in the second quarter 13.5 times in the third quarter and 13.4 times in the fourth quarter.

The price-to-earnings multiple (the period in years it takes for a theoretical buyer of a company to recover his investment at historical profits) is a reflection of forward expectations.

When investors expect earnings to be stagnant or fall, they will pay a lower price for stock.

The rupee started to collapse in the third quarter and corrective measures to stop money printing were put in place from the third quarter, analysts say.

In the first quarter of 2015, price-to-earnings multiples fell to 12.9 times, in the second quarter it fell to 12.7 times. In the current quarter, it was down to 12.2 times.

The price-to-book value had fallen from 1.55 times in the first quarter of 2015 to 1.41 times in the third quarter of 2016.

Colombo Stock Exchange Market Review – 23rd Nov 2016


Colombo bourse closed in red for the eight consecutive session marking the longest losing streak in four months. ASI closed at 6,242.68 down 13.30 index points or 0.2% while the S&P SL 20 index closed at 3,468.05 down 5.60 index points or 0.2%.

Market breadth was negative with 76 losers and 52 gainers. Hemas Holdings (LKR 95.00,-5%), Lion Brewery (LKR 455.90, -6.8%) and Ceylon Tobacco (LKR 869.00,-1.2%) shares saw decline in the share prices while Commercial Leasing (LKR 3.70,+8.8%), Commercial Bank (LKR 142.00,+0.7%) and Ceylon Cold Stores (LKR 740.80,+0.9%) gained grounds.
Market turnover fell to LKR 285mn. Top contributor to the turnover was John Keells Holdings (LKR 112mn) which saw a crossing of 0.6mn shares at LKR 145.00. Further, Access Engineering (LKR 36mn) and ACL Cables (LKR 18mn) made noteworthy contributions to the turnover.
Access Engineering, Textured Jersey continued be among the heavily traded stocks along with Ceylon Grain Elevators and Laugfs Gas.

Foreign investors were net sellers with net outflow of LKR 101mn. Top net outflows were seen in John Keells Holdings (LKR 88mn), Laugfs Gas – voting (LKR 15mn) and Access Engineering (LKR 14mn) while top net inflow was seen in ACL Cables (LKR 18mn). Foreign investors accounted for 29% of the day’s turnover.
Source: LSL

Sri Lanka shares fall for 8th session; tax proposals weigh

Reuters: Sri Lankan shares extended falls to an eighth session on Wednesday, posting their lowest close since April 7, as investor sentiment was hit by budget tax proposals, including revisions in corporate and withholding taxes.

The government aims to boost its 2017 tax revenue by 27 percent to 1.82 trillion rupees year-on-year, and meet a commitment given to the International Monetary Fund in return for a $1.5 billion loan in May.

The benchmark index of the Colombo Stock Exchange ended down 0.21 percent at 6,242.68. It has fallen 2.77 percent over the past eight sessions after the budget was presented on Nov. 10.

The index was in oversold territory, with the 14-day relative strength index at 15.978 versus Tuesday's 16.929, Thomson Reuters data showed. A level between 30 and 70 indicates the market is neutral.

"Market is down in low trade as investors are on wait-and-see mode," said Dimantha Mathew, head of research at First Capital Equities (Pvt) Ltd.

Foreign investors sold a net 100.7 million rupees ($678,571.43) worth of shares on Wednesday, extending the year-to-date net foreign outflow to 1.27 billion rupees.

Analysts said the increase in various taxes and fees would reduce disposable income and challenge consumption-led growth.

Turnover was 284.9 million rupees, well below this year's daily average of 698.6 million rupees.

Shares of Lion Brewery Plc fell 6.81 percent, while Hemas Holdings Plc declined 5.00 percent and Ceylon Tobacco Company Plc fell 1.24. 

($1 = 148.4000 Sri Lankan rupees) 

(Reporting by Ranga Sirilal; Editing by Sunil Nair)

Rising incomes seen lifting Sri Lanka consumer, retail stocks

ECONOMYNEXT – Sri Lanka’s consumer and retail sector has strong growth prospects given increasing disposable incomes and changing lifestyles, according to a new study by stock brokerage Asia Securities.

Mangalee Goonetilleke, research manager at Asia Securities, said that while new taxes in the government 2017 budget could reduce consumer spending, rising incomes means a shift to higher spending lifestyles.

Listed companies like Cargills, Singer (Sri Lanka), Ceylon Tobacco Company, Ceylon Cold Stores, Nestlé, Keells Food Products, Lion Brewery, Distilleries Company, Softlogic and Hemas stand to gain from higher consumer spending, she told a forum.

“The 2017 budget will have an impact on the sector with some companies raising prices which could reduce consumer spending,” she said. “But as incomes rise, there will be a shift to higher spending and lifestyle changes.”

Consumer firms that resort to “smart sourcing” should be able to withstand a slowdown in demand without hurting sales, she said.

Cargills is the largest food retailer, measured by sales and the number of stores. Its FMCG (fast moving consumer goods) business has a six percentage point margin difference over its retail and restaurant business and will be the future driver of growth, Goonetilleke said.

Singer is the largest consumer durables firms in sales and number of stores with an islandwide network and is close to consumers with a significant share of products made locally, such as fridges and washing machines, in which its unit Regnis is market leader.

Ceylon Cold Stores, which has reached the target price in Asia Securities buy recommendation, is the second largest food retailer and biggest ice cream vendor.

In the beverages business, Ceylon Cold Stores is market leader or neck-to-neck with Coca Cola, Goonetilleke said.

Ceylon Cold Stores is investing more money in new plant and should see strong growth in its impulse product range as it aims to catch up with market leader Cargills.

About 34-40% of Hemas’ sales come from FMCG and it is “aggressively marketing” its washing powder and soap brands and picking up market share from Unilever, Goonetilleke said.

Softlogic is third in consumer electronics, behind Abans and Singer, with its apparel business being able to capture the custom of high income people while its Samsung phones are doing well.

Sri Lanka's Cargills Bank makes Rs28mn net profit in Sept quarter

ECONOMYNEXT - Sri Lanka's Cargills Bank, part of CT Holdings Group, made a group net profit of Rs28 million in the September 2016 quarter compared with a loss of Rs79 million a year ago.

At bank level, interest income rose 288 percent to Rs442 million, while interest expenses rose 174 percent to Rs155 million, with net interest income up 267 percent to Rs287 million, according to results released by the company.

Net fee and commission income rose 48 percent to Rs17 million.

Group earnings per share were 05 cents compared with a loss per share of 18 cents the year before.

For the nine months to September 2016, the firm made a loss per share of 15 cents, down from 54 cents the previous year.

Loans stood at Rs12.3 billion as at 30 September 2016, while deposits were Rs7.3 billion.

During nine months ended 30 September 2016, 400.14 million shares were allocated raising a capital of Rs5.8 billion, the company said.

Sri Lanka Fitch rates National Insurance Trust Fund 'AA-(lka)'/Stable

ECONOMYNEXT - Fitch Ratings said it has assigned Sri Lanka’s National Insurance Trust Fund Board (NITF) a National Insurer Financial Strength Rating (IFS) and National Long-Term Rating of 'AA-(lka)' with a stable outlook.

“NITF's ratings reflect strong ties with the government of Sri Lanka, a strong business profile as the only reinsurer in the country, high capitalisation and conservative investment policy, which are counterbalanced by its high dividend payouts that are likely to continue,” a statement said.

The full statement follows:


Fitch Ratings-Colombo-21 November 2016: Fitch Ratings has assigned Sri Lanka-based National Insurance Trust Fund Board (NITF) a National Insurer Financial Strength Rating (IFS) and National Long Term Rating of 'AA-(lka)'. The Outlook is Stable.

NITF's ratings reflect strong ties with the government of Sri Lanka (B+/Negative), a strong business profile as the only reinsurer in the country, high capitalisation and conservative investment policy, which are counterbalanced by its high dividend payouts that are likely to continue.

KEY RATING DRIVERS


NITF's ratings reflect strong ties with the government as it is fully owned by the state and effectively functions as an arm of the state in the implementation of some policies, such as serving segments that are not covered by commercial insurers, and its role as the only reinsurer in the country. NITF was also the fourth-largest contributor to the government's consolidated fund in 2015.

NITF's rating reflects its strong business profile, which is underpinned by its role as the only reinsurer in Sri Lanka and its established products, including Agrahara, which according to NITF is the largest health insurance scheme in the country covering all state-sector employees and their families, as well as management of the Strike, Riot, Civil Commotion and Terrorism fund, which is available to all insurers in Sri Lanka.

Sri Lankan insurance regulation requires all non-life operators to cede 30% of their reinsurance to NITF. Inward reinsurance premiums accounted for 22% of NITF's gross written premiums (GWP) in 2015. Fitch expects reinsurance to be a key growth area for NITF, in line with industry growth in a country where penetration of non-life insurance is low.

In 2015, NITF's new management obtained retrocession to cover its reinsurance portfolio and as a result, claims stemming from the May 2016 floods in Sri Lanka were manageable. Flood-related claims caused NITF's combined ratio to increase to 97% in 1H16 from 53% in 2015. NITF has since reinstated the retrocession cover for rest of 2016 after exhausting it for flood-related claims.

NITF's profitability is high as reflected in the pre-tax return on assets of 39% in 2015, mainly due to the low combined ratio of 53% compared with the industry's 99%. NITF benefits from a low expense ratio - 14% in 2015 compared with an industry average of 36% - a reflection of its product portfolio, which requires smaller operating scale compared to a typical insurer, because most of NITF's business is directed from the state.

NITF's capitalisation metrics are strong, although it is still not reporting its regulatory risk-based capital to the authorities. Shareholders equity/total assets and non-life net premiums written/shareholder equity were strong at 73% and 0.9x, respectively, at end-2015. However, Fitch is of the view that capitalisation could come under pressure if there is a significant increase in the already high dividend payouts to the government in the future.

NITF's reserving lacks sophistication, in Fitch's view. NITF is in the process of getting its reserves externally certified and NITF expects reserving to improve with the inclusion of incurred but not reported (IBNR) reserves. According to management, NITF's liabilities are mainly short-tail in nature, and estimated to be less than one year.

NITF is only permitted to invest funds in government securities and equity of hospital projects under the NITF Act. NITF's entire investment portfolio is currently invested in government securities.

RATING SENSITIVITIES


An increase in market share while sustaining strong profitability and capitalisation as well as improvements in its risk management will lead to an upgrade in NITF's ratings.

NITF's rating will be downgraded if its importance to the state weakens. This could be reflected in a reduction in the share of government-related business. A weaker business profile, deterioration in capitalisation or aggressive underwriting could also lead to a downgrade.