Thursday 10 April 2014

Sri Lanka stocks edge down from 2-month high; Keells falls

(Reuters) - The Sri Lankan share index ended tad weaker on Thursday from a near two-month closing high, led by top conglomerate John Keells Holdings, while the turnover slumped to its lowest in more than one week ahead of holidays.

The main stock index fell 0.14 percent, or 8.50 points, to 6,075.05, from its highest close since Feb. 12 hit in the previous session.

Many investors were in a holiday mood as the stock and currency markets will be closed for three days next week including Monday and Tuesday due to Sinhala-Tamil new year followed by good Friday next week.

Analysts said the outlook is still positive due to prevailing lower interest rates.

Brokers say the $19.47 billion worth stock market is gradually attracting investors who are looking for higher returns as the deposit rates in banks and financial companies are not beyond 6-6.5 percent.

The day's turnover was 359 million rupees, its lowest since April 1 and less than a half of this year's daily average of 990 million rupees.

The bourse saw net foreign inflows of 1.8 million rupees, though foreigners have sold a net 8.5 billion rupees worth of shares so far this year.

John Keells Holdings lost 0.8 percent to 238 rupees.

Analysts said foreign outflow would continue if Sri Lanka does not cooperate in an international probe conducted by the Office of United nations' High Commissioner for Human Rights on the country's alleged war crimes.

The island nation's foreign minister on Monday said the country would not cooperate with the inquiry. 

($1 = 130.6000 Sri Lanka Rupees) 

(Reporting by Shihar Aneez; Editing by Anand Basu)

Fitch Downgrades DSI Holdings to 'BBB(lka)'; Outlook Stable

(Reuters) Fitch Ratings has downgraded DSI Holdings Limited's (DSIHL) National Long-Term Rating to 'BBB(lka)' from 'BBB+(lka)'. The Outlook has been revised to Stable from Negative.

The downgrade reflects Fitch's view that the footwear company's net leverage - measured as consolidated lease-adjusted debt net of cash/operating EBTIDAR - is likely to remain at over 4.25x in the medium term. DSIHL's leverage has been driven higher due to weaker cash flow following the imposition of 12% retail VAT in Sri Lanka effective January 2013.

KEY RATING DRIVERS

Negative Impact from VAT: DSIHL is the market leader in a fragmented retail industry targeting a relative price-sensitive segment, and the imposition of the retail VAT has hurt the group's competitive position. The VAT applies to retailers with quarterly revenue exceeding LKR250m, which leaves the larger industry players shouldering a bigger cost burden. Faced with increased price competition and weaker consumer purchasing power, DSIHL's sales volume fell markedly when it tried to raise prices gradually to recover the additional VAT burden.

Market Leader in Footwear: DSIHL's rating continues to reflect its market leadership in domestic footwear, supported by its well-known in-house brands, diverse product range and its extensive distribution network of over 200 retail and 90 wholesale points. Key risks include competition from small and medium scale manufacturers, volatility in prices of imported raw materials and exchange rate fluctuations.

Domestic footwear manufacturers are protected by high tariffs on footwear imports. A weak balance of payments and support for local industry underpins the likelihood the current high tariff regime will continue. Fitch also believes DSIHL's brand and distribution strengths should, to a certain extent, help protect its market position if import tariffs were removed or reduced sharply. High Leverage: DSIHL's net leverage increased to 5.0x in the financial year ended 31 March 2013 from 3.7x at FYE12, mostly due to declining profitability and despite paying down debt following inventory liquidation at end FY13. Fitch expects its leverage to remain above 4.25x due to continued weakness in consumer purchasing power, the VAT's impact on cash flows, and as DSIHL's debt levels return to its usual levels to fund working capital expenditure and capex. Fitch expects EBITDAR margins to only show gradual improvement over the medium term as the company incorporates the VAT into pricing and implements cost controls, including a shift towards a franchise model.

Parent's Other Investments Sound: DSI Samson Group (Pvt) Ltd (DSG) fully owns DSIHL and controls the subsidiary's cash flows. DSG's operations consist mainly of DSIHL and Samson Rubber Industries (Pvt) Ltd (SRI), a company engaged in the manufacture andexport of bicycle and other tyres. SRI's profile continues to remain sound with leverage trending lower (1.6x at 9M14 from 3.2x at FY13).

RATING SENSITIVITIES

Negative: Future developments that may, individually or collectively, lead to a negative rating action include:

-Net leverage above 5.5x on a sustained basis

-EBITDAR to Interest and operating lease rental coverage falling below 1.3x (FY13:1.1x)

-A weakening of DSG's credit profile

Positive: Future developments that may, individually or collectively, lead to a positive rating action include:

-Net Leverage below 4.25x on a sustained basis and

-EBITDAR margins above 12% on a sustained basis

Fitch Downgrades Softlogic Holdings to 'BBB+(lka)'; Outlook Stable

(Reuters) Fitch Ratings has downgraded Softlogic Holdings Plc's (SHL) National Long-Term Rating to 'BBB+(lka)' from 'A-(lka)'. The Outlook is Stable. Fitch also downgraded the National Long-Term Rating on SHL's unsecured redeemable debentures to 'BBB+(lka)' from 'A-(lka)'.

The downgrade reflects Fitch's expectation of a sustained weakness in SHL's financial profile at the holding company level, primarily because of debt-funded capital injections into the company's financial services, leisure and expanding retail subsidiaries. Also, higher dividends from SHL's healthcare business did not materialise.

KEY RATING DRIVERS

High Leverage: Fitch expects the holding company's leverage, measured as lease-adjusted debt net of cash to operating EBITDAR, to be 7.4x at 31 March 2014, the end of the financial year. SHL plans to reduce its debt, including through the disposal of an investment property and shifting to raise debt directly at its operating subsidiaries. Despite these plans, Fitch expects leverage at the holding company to remain at more than 3.5x, the threshold above which negative rating action may be considered, over the medium term.

Aside from high leverage at the holding company level, leverage at the group level (which excludes debt at SHL's licensed finance company) is also high relative to companies in the 'A(lka)' category (companies rated 'A-(lka)', 'A(lka)' and 'A+(lka)'). As at end-December 2013, group leverage was 6.5x compared with 5.4x at end-December 2012. While Fitch expects leverage at the group level to reduce over the next two to three years, it will likely remain consistent with levels for a company in the 'BBB(lka)' rating category. Weakness in IT and Retail Business: SHL's IT business continues to face margin decline due to intense competition in the mobile phone and computer hardware markets. SHL holds the distributorship for Nokia phones and Dell computers in Sri Lanka. Earnings at SHL's retail business have also come under pressure due to strong competition.

Strong Healthcare Business: The group has a strong market position in the healthcare segment through its majority interest in the Asiri Hospitals group (Asiri). Asiri accounted for over 60% of SHL's consolidated EBITDA in 9MFY14. Asiri benefits from strong structural demand for private-sector healthcare services in Sri Lanka across economic cycles, and low business risk. While Fitch expects strong cash generation at Asiri, dividend flow to SHL will be constrained by Asiri's capex requirements and expansion.

Leisure Sector to Contribute to Earnings: The company's two hotel projects are expected to be operational in mid-2014 and late 2015 respectively. Fitch expects these hotels to contribute to group EBITDAR, which will reduce group leverage over the next two to three years.

RATING SENSITIVITIES

Negative: Future developments that may, individually or collectively, lead to a negative rating action include:

-Group leverage (excluding Softlogic Finance PLC ) being sustained above 5x

-a weakening in dividends received from the healthcare business

-a collective weakening of coverage and liquidity at both the holding company and group level

Positive: Future developments that may, collectively, lead to a positive rating action include:

-Group leverage (excluding Softlogic Finance PLC) being sustained below 3.5x on a sustained basis

-Group EBTIDAR/interest expense + operating lease rent improving above 1.25x on a sustained basis

-Holding company EBTIDAR/interest expense + operating lease rent improving above 1.4x on a sustained and forward looking basis

Sri Lanka stocks close lower

Apr 10, 2014 (LBO) - Sri Lanka's stocks close down 0.14 percent lower with index heavy stocks losing ground amid thin foreign participation on the bourse, brokers said.

The Colombo benchmark All Share Price Index closed 8.50 points lower at 6,075.05 down 0.14 percent. The S&P SL20 closed 0.96 points lower at 3,345.00, down 0.03 percent.

Turnover was 359.25 million rupees, down from 1.32 billion rupees a day earlier with 77 stocks close positive against 76 negative.

Lanka IOC closed 70 cents higher at 40.90 rupees with an off market transaction of 52.65 million rupees contributing to 15 percent of the daily turnover and attracting most number of trades during the day.

Foreign investors bought 15.01 million rupees worth shares while selling 13.16 million rupees worth shares.

SLT closed 1.20 rupees lower at 46.40 rupees and John Keells Holdings closed 1.90 rupees lower at 238.00 rupees, contributing most to the index drop.

JKH’s W0022 warrants closed 1.00 rupee lower at 68.20 rupees and its W0023 warrants closed 90 cents higher at 74.00 rupees.

Dialog Axiata closed 10 cents lower at 9.10 rupees and Asiri Hospital Holdings closed 1.50 rupees lower at 21.50 rupees.

Hemas Holdings closed 1.40 rupees higher at 41.40 rupees and Ceylon Tea Services closed 34.30 rupees higher at 699.40 rupees.

Asian Hotels and Properties closed 1.60 rupees higher at 66.80 rupees and Aitken Spence Hotel Holdings closed 1.40 rupees higher at 73.00 rupees.

Bukit Darah closed 5.20 rupees higher at 580.00 rupees and Ceylon Tobacco Company closed 1.00 rupee lower at 1,050.00 rupees.

Sri Lanka’s MCSL Financial Services on a Rs. 500 mn debt sale

Sri Lanka’s MCSL Financial Services will raise Rs. 500 million via a debt issue, which will be opened for public subscription on the 24th of April.

The company will issue 5 million, unsecured, subordinated, redeemable debentures at an issue price of Rs. 100 each.

The debts would be listed on the Colombo Stock Exchange.

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Related News:
http://www.cse.lk/cmt/upload_cse_announcements/401397039191_.pdf


http://www.lankabusinessonline.com/news/sri-lanka-mcsl-financial-services-given-bbb-rating-by-ram/1000255851