Tuesday 12 May 2015

‘Sri Lanka showing low investor participation in stock market’

By Ifham Nizam
Sri Lanka has one of the lowest participation rates of domestic investors in the capital market, although there are some 765,000 CDS accounts here, a renowned chartered financial analyst said.

"The number is around 583,000 if you exclude duplication due to joint accounts. A recent study reveals around 350,000 are plantation worker accounts and another 100,000 are students’ accounts that are dormant. So in fact active trading happens in only about 25,000 CDS accounts, said chartered financial analyst Ravi Abeysuriya who is the Group Chief Officer/ Director Candor Equities.

He said a government policy change is required with regard to building the capital market. "We have to get Sri Lanka into the MSCI Emerging Market Index, which could be a major catalyst to attract foreign investors to our capital market. This can be achieved by listing two large profitable state institutions and establishing a public float of over 20 per cent.

"USD 9.5 trillion in assets are estimated to be benchmarked to MSCI indexes. When Sri Lanka is in the index, MSCI Emerging Market Index tracker funds will be required to invest in Sri Lanka as they need to replicate the index, he said.

Abeysuriya explained what people in Sri Lanka miss out by demonstrating the "The Power of investing." He said Rs.10,000 invested by a risk adverse investor in the NSB savings account in 1985 will be worth only Rs.2,379 in 2015 even after compound interest due to loss of purchasing power from inflation. Whereas, the same Rs.10,000 invested in the ASPI by a risk taker would have given him or her the ability to buy Rs.35,421 worth of goods or services in 2015 after inflation, that is 3.5 times more.

However, he cautioned on the risk of investing without a long term perspective as stock markets "go up" as well as "down" and therefore require the staying power to wait until the markets recover over time.

Abeysuriya also said the potential for a prudent investor who invests in a portfolio of fundamentally sound stocks taking advice from a professional investment advisor who has the client’s interest at heart, will have returns which will be several times more.

Speaking at a seminar titled ‘Stock Market: Regulatory Framework and Investment Challenges’organised by the Ceylon Chamber of Commerce, last Friday, he said the industry had lost investor trust, which he terms largely due to lack of investor confidence and trust in Sri Lanka’s capital market.

He stressed: "To restore investor confidence and trust and attract more long term savers to the capital market we need a paradigm shift in the way our investment advisors treat their clients."

Abeusuriya said in the investor trust study carried out in 2013 and in 2014 it was found the financial services industry is the least trusted.

"I encourage SEC (Security Exchange Commission) or CSE (Colombo Stock Exchange) to carry out a similar market study to find out the level of confidence domestic investor have in our stock market, he added.

He also said that of the financial services industry, asset management was found to be the least trusted, adding asset managers don’t yet have this level of respect and trust from society.

Abeysuriya strongly believes that everyone should become financially literate and make use of the power of investing to transform their lives.

Answering questions on the sidelines of the seminar, he said for most people the capital market is the means to participate as an owner in the growth of the companies that make up the Sri Lankan economy.
He said what makes it powerful is that companies are motivated to grow their businesses over time.

"Stock ownership is the way for individuals to participate in that growth. Of course, investing requires optimism about the future opportunities. It requires investing wisely, taking a reasonable amount of risk and a long term view and most importantly, getting professional help, he added.

He said that pension reform will increase long term saving and "institution capital".

Sri Lanka, he added, is the gateway to India. India will become world’s largest economy and will have the largest population. Foreign investors will continue to surge to India as reforms by Prime Minister Narendra Modi take hold and investors search for growth. (India stock up more than 20 per cent last year)

"The magnitude of the impact depends on the commitment to reform by all stake holders, Abeysuriya added.

CCC secretary general/CEO Mangala Yapa, SEC deputy director general Dhammika Perera and CSE Head of Research Nishantha Hewawitharana also spoke.
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